It was predictable that the revolution weeks inflames North Africa and the Arab world? The flames flared up in Tunisia, estesesi Algeria, Egypt, Yemen and in a most tragic of all were expected to Libya? We could predict the reactions of the population of Tunisia with a desperate gesture of walking do not take it anymore and sets himself on fire with gasoline? The reports say that was the second, another did the same in last December. It was expected that the human pyre would burn half a continent?
Yes, like earthquakes was predictable: the only time when this would happen was unclear. But it was terribly predictable. Only a myopic conservatism and the desire not to surrender never, even before the evidence has prompted governments to fire on demonstrators in Libya with the planes. Only this conservative myopia might suggest that they can rule forever without change, that the world out there, one of the people, that ordinary people can change but that the art of government can go on for forty years tirelessly in the same way . But what happened in Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968 is perhaps not the same thing? What the rebels were trying on those occasions? Bread? Freedom? Perhaps one thing excludes the other.
What is striking is these days, the total lack of response strategies by the Western democracies (Europe and the USA. It means that we have not thought of? Probably the economic interest in those areas was so high that you could not think of a situation like the present. Epistemic arrogance? Extreme events? Yes, but given the importance of the area, were covered. As often happens, the swan is white or black. It depends on the eyes that look.
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